Contact Us
Questions, comments, ideas for future content? Contact us below.
What I missed during my Friday off: Hubspot turning layoffs into content and how 517k jobs may have killed the Phillips curve.
A 2 for 1 sh*tposting today.**
Unless you were living under a rock, you saw the news about Hubspot laying off 7% last week. Like over and over, in your LinkedIn feed. (Examples here and here.)
What stuck out about it was the highly positive tone: people were applauding the severance, benefits period, keeping of laptops, etc. With the phrase I saw a dozen times “treating employees like people.”
Obviously there was a bit of backlash. There’s always a group of folks who believe any reduction should have been foreseeable and avoided. You’re an a$$hole for not predicting the future and you know, running a business.
I’ll be clear on my take here: I don’t care about either side of this discussion.
👉I find it absolutely fascinating how Hubspot was able to turn a layoff into content.
Current and former execs, other industry influencers, employees, even some people let go. The full spread. I say this with no sarcasm whatsoever: it was impressive and I can’t wait to read the case study. Things like this don’t just happen all by themselves.
Never miss a good photo op. That’s PR 101.
It really was a great severance package. Maybe everyone affected truly is happy. But I think we need to admit they treated their employees like people…until they didn’t.
Hot take: the ‘best’ layoffs are the ones you never hear about.
(Side note: I actually love Hubpsot’s product. Please don’t charge me more for this post…)
Moving on…
That 517k jobs number from last week. So this is what the lowest unemployment rate since 1969 feels like?
We can argue back and forth about job participation rates, if we have enough ‘high paying’ jobs in sectors like tech & finance, etc.
But the interesting takeaway is that we may be seeing the (short term) death of the Phillips curve. Which states that inflation and unemployment have an inverse relationship.
Job growth = bad, because inflation will go up and we need to curb it before it’s out of control.
But what people forget: not all correlations are fixed or permanent. There’s a variety of factors that affect them. The real time market conditions surrounding them are different than what happened previously (which correlations are based on.)
Inflation has been going down, which flies in the face of his 517k number. It’s too early to say if the Phillips curve is (short term) dead, but CPI comes out next week and PCE the week after. At which point we’ll know if we can stop worrying about what the Fed will do with rates based upon the employment numbers.
All caught up. Can’t wait to see what nonsense the world has in store for us this week.
**Side note: It was pointed out to me that “sh*tposting” is an anagram for “top insights” so I’m leaning into that…
Partner at Hirewell. #3 Ranked Sarcastic Commenter on LinkedIn.
If you’re hiring in 2026, you’re dealing with two realities at the same time.
First, traditional signals like degrees and pedigree are losing their value.
Second, Gen Z is reshaping expectations around speed, transparency, and trust.
Together, those forces are pushing talent acquisition into its next evolution.
As we outlined in Agentic HR Is Here: What Talent Acquisition Really Looks Like in 2026, recruiting is becoming more autonomous at the execution level. But autonomy alone doesn’t solve the core hiring problem.
You still need a better way to evaluate people.
That’s where skills-first hiring comes in.
For decades, degrees were used as a shortcut.
Not because they reliably predicted success, but because they reduced perceived risk and simplified decision-making.
That logic no longer holds.
Roles are changing too fast. Job titles mean less than they used to. And in a market where AI can generate a polished resume in seconds, pedigree is an even weaker signal.
Companies need capability, not credentials.
The bigger shift isn’t just skills-based hiring. It’s skills intelligence.
Instead of organizing work around static job descriptions, companies are starting to think in terms of capabilities. Work is assigned based on skill, not hierarchy or tenure.
This is the same evolution happening across workforce planning more broadly. Not headcount planning, but capability planning.
And it’s the only model that holds up in a fast-moving market.
Skills-first hiring is gaining traction because it solves multiple problems at once.
It improves quality of hire.
It increases internal mobility.
It reduces bias tied to pedigree.
And it aligns better with how work actually gets done.
But it’s also accelerating for a more practical reason.
The resume is no longer reliable.
As we covered in The AI-on-AI Hiring Arms Race, recruiting teams are now dealing with a flood of highly optimized, AI-generated applications. Many look great on paper and collapse under real scrutiny.
When that happens, skills-based evaluation stops being a “nice to have.” It becomes the only way to restore signal.
Now layer in Gen Z.
By 2026, Gen Z is one of the fastest-growing segments of the workforce. They are also the least tolerant of slow, opaque hiring processes.
One of the most important data points in the market right now is this:
A majority of Gen Z candidates will drop out if a hiring process exceeds 22 days.
Speed, to them, isn’t about impatience. It’s about competence.
If a company can’t run a clear, efficient hiring process, candidates assume it can’t run the business well either.
It’s a trust issue.
A large percentage of job seekers report that looking for work negatively impacts their mental health. The biggest driver isn’t rejection.
It’s silence.
Waiting to hear back. No closure. No clarity on next steps.
For Gen Z, that lack of transparency is a dealbreaker. It signals misalignment, not just poor communication.
In 2026, how you hire is inseparable from how you’re perceived as an employer.
For Gen Z, the hiring experience is part of the offer.
They expect:
If the process feels like a black box, they assume the culture is the same.
This is where skills-first hiring and agentic systems intersect. Technology can speed up execution, but only leadership can ensure the experience remains human.
The companies adapting fastest in 2026 are focused on a few fundamentals:
Skills-first hiring isn’t just about fairness. It’s about accuracy.
And Gen Z isn’t asking for special treatment. They’re forcing employers to modernize a hiring process that’s been broken for a long time.
The companies that adapt will hire better, faster, and with less churn. The companies that don’t will keep blaming the market while losing candidates to competitors who simply run a better process.
Most companies agree with skills-first hiring in theory. Very few have operationalized it in a way that actually improves outcomes. If you want help redesigning your hiring process for 2026, especially around skills-based evaluation and candidate experience, we can help. Reach out and we’ll walk you through what’s working right now.