They don’t need to be.
In June 2022, I wrote about how layoffs hit a record low that April. 2 years to the date. Going back to the year 2000.
(The numbers have since been adjusted and it’s the second lowest number of layoffs. Only Oct 2021 was lower.)
It was a little mind-bending because all the attention grabbing headlines of big tech companies doing wide scale layoffs had already started. Sure, it picked up further, but it was in full swing.
Looking more closely at the data, the last half of 2023 โ what we can hope was the absolute bottom โ still had less layoffs on a monthly basis than nearly every month of the 2010-2019 boom. The H2 2023 months were in the 1.5-1.6 million range, most of the 2010s were in the 1.7-1.8 million range. Go ahead and check the data here.
Now the tinfoil hat crowd will say โthe government is fudging the numbers!โ But the explanation much simpler: weโre in the LinkedIn bubble, then and now.
The core โsocialโ audience of LinkedIn โ recruiters, salespeople, and more broadly the tech-centric Office Dorkโข๏ธ community โ was in the cross hairs of it all. And thatโs not to diminish it. But it explains how a lot of us can be consumed with doom and gloom yet talk to our friends in other industries who have no idea what weโre talking about. Their sectors are booming and they canโt find enough people.
I donโt want to talk about layoffs anymore. Nor do I want to rag on the LinkedIn echo chamber.
๐The fact that the LinkedIn echo chamber exists points to how irrelevant the platform is to large parts of the business community.
Manufacturing, health care, academia, skilled trades, clinicians, government, etc. These are real jobs and make up enormous parts of our job economy. And the people in these industries tend to not give a crap about LinkedIn.
On one hand, you could say itโs a growth opportunity. But if 20 years in, it hasnโt happened, I donโt see why it would start now.
And if youโre not growing in tech, your days are numberedโฆ
Full episode of The 10 Minute Talent Rant, ep 85 โWill LinkedIn Be Dead In 10 Years?โ here.
Partner at Hirewell. #3 Ranked Sarcastic Commenter on LinkedIn.
More blogs from James Hornick
Our Latest Featured Episode
Candidate Experience sucks right now. Thatโs it. Thatโs the show.
If you think back to 2021, when the job market was on fire, it was top of mind for everyone. Not just LinkedIn think pieces, but companies poured lots of time and effort into white-glove interview processes.
Now that the market cooled off, so did the effort. But thereโs a disconnect: attracting talent isnโt any easier right now. In fact, itโs harder when you inadvertently cut corners.
Jeff Smith and James Hornick explain why ignoring candidate experience is costing companies big in The 10 Minute Talent Rant, Episode 111, โCandidate Experience Has Never Been Worseโ
Episode 111















